BUDGET MESSAGE

FOR FISCAL YEAR 2009

 

 


Mayor Weinbrecht and Members of Council:

 

Submitted herein, in accordance with the Local Government Budget and Fiscal Control Act, is the proposed annual budget for fiscal year 2009 for the Town of Cary. The budget is balanced and identifies methods of raising and spending funds for specific programs during the coming fiscal year. The budget is a plan that presents financial information summarized by major category of expense for each departmental budget and outlines the operations of the Town of Cary government and its component operating and capital programs. 

 

The approach of the FY 2009 Proposed Budget is to continue with a budget structure and philosophy using basic business principals to guide decisions now and in the future for the provision of our core municipal services.  Our organization has recently refined its statement of values and mission statement and even developed guiding principles and a vision statement to help improve and clarify both how we conduct ourselves and to provide a framework to describe the sense of community we encourage through our comprehensive goals and initiatives.  With these guidelines and the new program areas of interest as identified at the Council / Staff Retreat in early 2008 in mind, we have worked through our budget development process with a focus on providing high quality services in an efficient manner while generating revenues equitably.  As part of this process and in everything we do throughout the year, we strive to provide the pertinent information necessary for the Town Council to make the wide variety of policy and program decisions necessary to help determine the future of the Town of Cary.  Of particular interest in this budget development year, we will be faced with critical decisions regarding the future levels of general fund related capital debt financing and fund balance to ensure we continue to maintain our strong financial position, our current AAA bond ratings, and address the capital needs that are important to the citizens.  These two financial measures and the approach we take with them in the future will play a key role in the overall assessment performed to determine the Town’s future bond ratings.   

 

MAJOR ISSUES

 

Tax Base Growth and the Revaluation Process

 

The fiscal year 2009 ad valorem tax base is being impacted by the real property revaluation that occurred recently in Wake County and became effective January 1, 2008.  This is a process in which the tax value for all land and buildings is updated to approximate the market value of each property.  The previous tax valuations had not been updated since January 1, 2000.  All real property in North Carolina must be reassessed at least every eight years according to state law.  Even though the tax base amounts for real property typically increase substantially as a result of revaluation, it does not mean necessarily that the revenue requirements for a jurisdiction increase proportionally.  Because there was interest in standardizing the approach and communication process regarding adopted tax rates in the year following a revaluation, the North Carolina General Assembly passed general statute 159-11 section “e” in 2003 regarding revenue neutral tax rate calculation methodology that reads as follows:

 

"(e)   In each year in which a general reappraisal of real property has been conducted, the budget officer shall include in the budget, for comparison purposes, a statement of the revenue neutral property tax rate for the budget.  The revenue neutral property tax rate is the rate that is estimated to produce revenue for the next fiscal year equal to the revenue that would have been produced for the next fiscal year by the current tax rate if no reappraisal had occurred.  To calculate the revenue neutral tax rate, the budget officer shall first determine a rate that would produce revenues equal to those produced for the current fiscal year and then increase the rate by a growth factor equal to the average annual percentage increase in the tax base due to improvements since the last general reappraisal.  This growth factor represents the expected percentage increase in the value of the tax base due to improvements during the next fiscal year.  The budget officer shall further adjust the rate to account for any annexation, deannexation, merger, or similar event. (1927, c. 146, s. 6; 1955, cc. 698, 724; 1969, c. 976, s. 1; 1971, c. 780, s. 1; 1975, c. 514, s. 4; 1979, c. 402, s. 2; 2003 264, s. 1.)"

 

The general reappraisal of real property for Wake County occurs once every eight years. As dictated above, the new State law requires that units of local government, including public authorities, publish a revenue-neutral tax rate in the budget immediately following the completion of the general reappraisal of real property. The purpose of the revenue-neutral tax rate is to provide citizens with comparative information.  The FY 2009 budget is the first budget following the 2008 general reappraisal of real property for the Town of Cary. 

Because all new construction during the year of revaluation is done so using “2008 values”, the typical comparison to the prior year ending values to determine the real amount of growth is not possible.  This is why the state statute utilizes an average of the previous annual growth rates as a proxy. 

 

Using the Town’s average annual growth rate in tax base for the Town of Cary since FY 2001 of 5.06% as stipulated by NC General Statute , the Town’s revenue neutral tax rate would be 32 cents (rounded from 31.79 cents) per $100 of taxable property.  However, due to recent development patterns including the number of new permits issued impacting the amount of tax base added as of January 1, 2008, the number of certificates of occupancy issued, and the number of new utility meters added, it is estimated that the annual growth rate in tax base through January 1, 2008 was 7.02%.  This higher growth rate yields a revenue neutral tax rate calculation of 32.38 cents, which more accurately represents our community's actual growth rate.  Based on this information, the Recommended Budget for FY 2009 includes a tax rate of 33 cents.  This is a decrease of nine cents from the tax rate of 42 cents for FY 2008.  For a single family home valued at $300,000, one cent on the tax rate equals $30 in annual taxes.  For the Town of Cary as a whole, one penny on the tax rate in FY 2009 is expected generate approximately $1.9 million.

 

The reappraisal of real property produced an estimated tax base of $17.1 billion.  When this amount is combined with anticipated ad valorem values for personal property, public service property, and vehicles, the Town of Cary’s total tax base for FY 2009 is estimated to total $19.5 billion.  This includes the $172 million expected for the property located within Cary’s corporate limits but within Chatham County.  Chatham County revalues its property every four years instead of every eight years like Wake County.  The next property revaluation in Chatham County will impact values for FY 2011.  The amount of Cary’s total tax base in Chatham County is less than 1% in FY 2009.  Those property owners will have their tax rate reduced just as those in Wake County, and then after property revaluation in Chatham County, they will pay the same tax rate as those in the Wake County portion of Cary. 

 

During the early 2000s, the impacts of the poor economy, coupled with the Town’s successful growth control measures, combined to slow the rate of revenue growth compared to that of the mid to late 1990’s. Approximately 70% of the Town’s tax base is residential, so reductions in the population growth rate had a significant effect on the level of ad valorem tax revenues.  This is the largest revenue source for the Town and, at $63 million, it comprises 54% of all General Fund revenues.   With the recovery of the economy experienced over the last few years, the Town of Cary gradually bounced back from its recent low in annual tax base growth of 1.53% in FY 2005 to an estimated growth in tax base of 7% in FY 2009.  This is compared to the average annual growth rate of 11% from FY93 to FY01.

 

A historical perspective of the Town’s assessed value (tax base) growth since FY 1995 is provided in the graph below.  The extremely high growth rate in 2001 reflects a property revaluation conducted by Wake County that year.  In FY 2001, the tax rate was reduced from 54 cents to 43 cents to maintain a revenue neutral tax rate.  A property revaluation also took place in 2008 impacting tax base projections for fiscal year 2009.  While there have been some recently approved developments in Cary’s jurisdiction within adjacent Chatham County, the assessed value there is only about $172 million, which is less than 1% of Cary’s total assessed value.

 

 

The Town has experienced an increase in the number of new single family (SF) permits being issued in the last several years.  During 2002, only 466 new permits were issued compared to an average of about 1,500 per year in the mid 90s.  The assessed value on which tax receipts are calculated is based on what has been built by the prior January 1 meaning that FY 2009 revenues are based on values as of January 1, 2008.  While Cary’s tax base is much higher than it was in the mid 90s and it takes more growth each year to have the same percentage increase, these higher numbers of new permits will help the tax base grow over time as the units are built and included in future tax base calculations.  The graph below shows new single family residential permits issued since 1990.


Sales Taxes

Projected sales tax revenues totaling $25 million in FY 2009 make up 22% of all general fund revenues.  The historical growth rate of this major revenue source was greatly impacted by the economic slowdown of the early 2000s, but the economic recovery of the past few years has helped this revenue source recover as evidenced by an average annual growth rate of 11.5% for FY 2003 through FY 2007.  With the global and domestic economies slowing, the health of the Triangle regional economy has started to show signs of slowing as well with only 5% growth in sales taxes expected in FY 2008.  Because the future growth of the economy is not expected to be as strong, a more modest growth rate of 4% in sales tax revenues is forecast for FY 2009.  Cary has experienced a slower growth rate in this revenue than some other jurisdictions in Wake County.  Sales taxes are distributed within Wake County on a per capita basis.  As Cary’s population growth rate has slowed compared to the rest of Wake County, it has received a smaller portion of the total distribution amount.  Had Cary’s percentage distribution remained constant since its peak of 8.94% in FY 2001, Cary would be receiving about $700,000 more, or about 2.8%, in FY 2009 (percentage distribution currently 8.69%).

 

The graph below depicts the historical amount of sales tax revenues and includes the one cent (Article 39) which is distributed based on sales delivered in Wake County, the two half cents (Articles 40 and 42) which are distributed state-wide based on the population of each county, and the one half cent (Article 44) which is distributed based on a combination of both approaches mentioned.  Article 44 was approved in December 2002 to replace the expiring Inventory Tax Reimbursement and Intangibles Tax Reimbursement revenue sources.

 

 

Investment Earnings

Existing cash balances on hand due to current receipts, fund balances, and project funding are often invested temporarily to earn the Town income in the form of investment earnings to help offset total income needed for Town services.  While the sagging economy of the early 2000s drove debt service rates lower in the bond market, it also reduced the amount of return available for the Town’s investments.  Interest earnings in FY 2001 were $8.7 million across all governmental funds, while net investment earnings in FY 2004 in these same funds were only $1.3 million, which is a drop of $7.4 million or 85%.  As these market changes have affected the Town’s income over the past few years, the Town has had to adapt its expense and pay-as-you-go capital planning accordingly.  With the economic recovery of the past few years, investment earning levels have gotten better, but as the economy has once again started to slump, total investment earnings for FY 2009 are expected to be about $9.9 million or 35% less than those expected in FY 2008.  For the general fund specifically, investment earnings are expected to decrease from an anticipated $3 million in FY 2008 to approximately $2 million in FY 2009.  For comparison purposes, each penny on the tax rate in FY 2009 is expected to generate $1.9 million in revenue, so the Town’s stronger investment earnings are helping to generate the equivalent of slightly more than one penny’s worth of tax revenue. 

 

Debt Service

Historical financing decisions and the rate of capital investments have been shaped by a variety of funding philosophies and the health of the economy in general.  Beginning in fiscal year 1999, the Town decided to leverage its debt capacity in the general fund to increase its rate of investment in Town infrastructure including streets and parks.  The flexibility to afford additional capital improvements with existing resources has changed dramatically over the past several years.  By managing operating cost increases and adjusting programs and their related cost recovery rates, the Town has been able to maximize the level of general fund operating margin (the difference between revenues and operating expenditures that is available to pay debt service).  From fiscal year 2002 through 2008, the Town’s operating margin has averaged 21% per year and ranged from a high of 27% of revenues in FY 2007 to a low of 16% anticipated for FY 2008.  The FY 2009 budget reflects an operating margin of 15% or about $17 million.   Over this same time period, the level of debt service being paid by the general fund has risen from $1.7 million in FY 2002 to $14.3 million in FY 2009.  In addition, debt service is expected to increase to $25 million in FY 2013 as principal and interest payments for debt sales from previously committed projects and those from the FY 2009 capital budget become due.  Thus far, the level of operating margin available has been able to absorb the debt service increases.  However, because the level of anticipated debt service is expected to consume all available operating margins by FY 2010, there will be additional revenues needed as well as incremental revenues associated with future debt funded capital investments.

 

Maximizing Existing Resources to Continue Advancing the Quality of Life

Operating Margin

Ad valorem tax base growth, after a ten year low of 1.5% in FY 2005, is expected to rebound to 7% in fiscal year 2009 as a reflection of the resurgence in single family permit activity during 2006 and 2007.  While these increases are a welcome change from recent years, they are not strong enough to create operating margins like those of the 1990s.  Operating margins from FY 1992 through FY 2002 averaged nearly $15 million annually.  As the graph below illustrates, the rate of debt service growth (in red) and steadily climbing expense growth (in blue) has put increasing pressure on the rate of revenue growth (in black).  Operating margin after debt service is demonstrated in the graph by the area where the revenues, shown in black, are still visible since they exceed debt service and expenses.  The proposed budget reflects an operating margin after debt service of approximately $3 million or about 2.5%.  This operating margin is being consumed by recommended pay-as-you-go funding of capital projects.

 


Debt Capacity

Fiscal Year 2003 marked two significant milestones in Cary’s debt history.  At the beginning of FY 2003, the Town appropriated the last of its bond authority for streets and park facilities that was approved by the voters in 1999 ($63 million for streets and $10 million for parks).  Realizing that the Town intended to continue improving street capacity and park facilities, the Town held the largest combined municipal bond referendum in North Carolina in 15 years:  $130 million for streets and $30 million for park facilities.  In 2005, Cary continued its tradition of ensuring infrastructure is in place when needed by beginning to execute plans for a major water reclamation facility that is necessary for future capacity and to meet an inter-basin transfer certificate agreement to return water to the Cape Fear River basin by 2011.  This project is being undertaken regionally and includes as project partners the towns of Morrisville, Apex, and Holly Springs.  To help finance the Western Wake Regional Wastewater Management Facility (WWRWMF) in the most affordable manner, Cary held a $110 million general obligation bond referendum which was approved by Cary voters.  Included on the same ballot was an additional question for voters regarding $10 million in general obligation bond authority for the purchase of open space which was also approved. 

 

The general obligation bond referendum authority being recommended for appropriation in FY 2009 includes $48.6 million for transportation projects and $15.8 million for park projects.  The current appropriation authority remaining from each of those referendums after subtracting the authority being allotted to projects in FY 2009 is as follows:

 

·        2003 $130 million transportation bond:  $15.3 million remaining

·        2003 $30 million park bond:  $4.3 million remaining

 

Debt Affordability

With $160 million in approved debt authority for streets and parks comes a great deal of responsibility.  The cost of borrowed money remains relatively low compared to historical levels; however, the interest rates charged in bond markets can change rapidly.  While lower interest rates are a great incentive to leverage the Town’s remaining debt capacity, being able to repay the related debt service each and every year is a major factor when deciding which projects to undertake and how much to borrow.  Debt service related to the 1999 bond authority for streets and parks, costs related to the NC55 widening and an expansion of Town Hall and the debt issued from the 2003 street and park bonds have combined to increase debt related costs in the general fund to $14.3 million in FY 2009 with expected increases of another $11 million by the FY 2013 budget to total $25 million.  Following the FY 2006 budget development process, Council focused a great deal of attention on all previously funded capital projects including the liquidity of their various funding sources.  Several work sessions were held to determine options related to minimizing the impact of pending debt service on the General Fund without altering or delaying any projects already approved.  The first approach involved using the Town’s cash balances within existing projects that were not spending right away to prevent borrowing funding for debt funded projects that were ready to spend.  This approach was used up until the time that the variable interest rate market provided an opportunity for the Town to use its borrowing power and triple A credit rating in the spring of 2006.  The Town borrowed $47 million with only interest payments due the first two years (fiscal years 2007 and 2008) and principal being due for the first time in FY 2009.  Increased investment earnings on the bond proceeds during these two years helped pay the interest costs the first two years, while general fund debt service will be increasing as principal payments come due in FY 2009.

 

Signs of the economic recovery of the past few years have materialized in Cary in the form of increased levels of new residential construction, tax base growth, and sales tax growth for fiscal years 2007, 2008 and 2009.  However, the recent economic slowdown and its impacts on Cary’s tax base and sales tax growth for FY 2010 and the near future will be key indicators of how strongly the Town will be forced to evaluate additional funding options in the future which could include tax increases.

 

 


Fund Balance

The Town of Cary’s fast growth during the 1990s helped develop one of the highest levels of general fund fund balance in the state of North Carolina.  This major cash reserve created by historically healthy annual operating margin has helped facilitate a large number of cash funded projects as well as provide mid-year funding flexibility regarding special opportunities and emergencies.  The Town Council decided during FY 2003 to reserve six months worth of operating expenditures and debt service for future needs, while designating the remainder for pay-as-you-go capital projects or for special opportunities versus the funding of on-going expenditures.  Since FY 2003, the size of the six month reserve has grown by $21 million from $36 million to an expected $57 million with the FY 2009 recommended budget.  This increase, combined with various appropriations of fund balance for capital projects since that time have combined to reduce the designated amount available for additional capital from $29 million in FY 2003 to about $5 million by the end of FY 2009.  The graph below shows the distinction between the “six month reserve” level and the amount designated for capital since fiscal year 1989.

In the spring of 2008, the Council held a financial planning worksession in which the concept of adjusting the Town’s definition of fund balance reservations and amounts was considered.  Rather than total general fund fund balance, the decision was made to consider adjusting the definition of fund balance set aside for emergencies to four months of unreserved fund balance (after that reserved by state statute).  This definition of the amount set aside for emergencies is known to be more consistent with the approach and evaluation criteria utilized by bond rating agencies and leaves approximately $7 million available for capital by the end of FY 2009 as opposed to $5 million using the former approach. 

 

 

While fund balance levels are a key consideration when bond rating agencies (Moody’s, Fitch, Standard & Poor’s) evaluate the risk associated with future borrowings of the Town, there are many other factors considered as well.  Items considered heavily when awarding Cary’s AAA rating include evidence of a strong and proactive administration, effective debt management with moderate to low debt levels, a vibrant or diverse economy, and strong finances.  As future capital opportunities arise and various financing options are considered, fund balance targets and appropriations should be considered as a viable option for a one-time funding source, realizing that it is extremely difficult to replenish, especially during tough economic times and periods of slow tax base and population growth. 

 

Impact of Declining Operating Margin

Fiscal Year 2009 represents a very interesting mix of several factors that have affected operating margin over the past several years:

·     Revenue growth from new tax base, although showing signs of growth recently, will likely decline again in FY 2010 as a result of the current economic slowdown and will likely never reach double digits again as it did in the 1990s.

·     Operating expenditure growth has been limited to maintaining service levels in most areas with the exception of staffing, operating, and maintaining several new facilities (Tennis Park, Skate Park,  WakeMed Soccer Park, USA Baseball)

·     Debt service in FY 2009 is projected to grow by $2.8 million to $14.3 million and is expected to reach $16.3 million by FY 2010 and $25 million by FY 2013.  There is typically a delay between the time a project is approved and when the cash is actually needed to pay for construction since funds are usually borrowed just before the related cash is needed so debt service payments don’t become due before the projects are incurring costs (see the “Debt Affordability” section above).

 

As the level of expenditures and debt service have grown and various mid-year appropriations have taken place, the level of general fund fund balance available to assist with capital purchases is dwindling.  While the targeted amount of fund balance reserved is available for one-time emergencies, it is not a sound financial planning practice to pay for long term operational expenditures with fund balance or other non-recurring sources of revenue.

 

Options for Creating Additional Operating Margin

The conversion to curbside solid waste collection and a fee increase implemented in FY 2006 have helped improve the cost recovery percentage and have helped boost general fund operating margin available for debt service.    The solid waste fee had been reduced from $11.50 to $7.67 in FY 2001, which equated to about $1.5 million less in annual revenue until FY 2006 when the fee was raised to $11.75.  FY 2008 was the first full fiscal year that all routes had been converted and thus provided a good foundation to analyze the economies of scale achieved with the new program.  It is recommended that the solid waste fee be increased in FY 2009 to $14 per month (a $2.25 monthly increase above the FY 2008 rate).   As a result of this fee increase and the comparative cost effectiveness of the curbside service, the cost recovery percentage for solid waste collection is expected to stay at its FY 2008 cost recovery level of 77.5%.  This represents a dramatic departure from the program’s cost recovery low point of 47% in FY 2004.  The cost recovery level associated with the automated curbside solid waste and dual stream recycling programs being initiated in FY 2009 will continue to be monitored for improvement and possible fee adjustments in the future (each $1 on the $14 monthly fee is expected to generate about $468,000 in FY 2009). 

 

The largest cause for decreased levels of operating margin over the past decade is the growing amount of debt service that has been absorbed within the general fund with no tax increases.  Over this same time period, a one cent decrease was approved in FY 2002 changing the rate from 43 cents to 42 cents.  In the FY 2009 budget, each one cent on the tax rate is expected to yield about $1.9 million in revenue.  Since FY 1994, four bond referendums have been approved by the voters authorizing $242 million of general obligation debt for streets and parks with the understanding that the potential tax increase resulting from all of that debt could be as much as 14 cents on the tax rate once all the debt is issued (all tax rate impacts here have been adjusted for property revaluation impacts in 2000). 

 

Other initiatives to help create and/or reduce the impact on operating margin totaling about $9 million for the next couple of years (with $5.8 million recurring annually) have been initiated recently including:

 

·      raising the business license fees effective for FY 2007 for the first time since 1990 (expected to generate an additional $650,000 in FY 2008)

·      reducing employee average raise amounts in FY 2006 (saving about $320,000 annually)

·      increasing the monthly solid waste and recycling fee from $7.67 to $11.75 in FY 2006 (expected to generate about $1.9 million in additional revenue in FY 2009)

·      increasing the monthly solid waste fee from $11.75 to $14.00 in FY 2009 (expected to generate about $1 million in additional revenue in FY 2009)

·      delayed $47 million debt sale for already appropriated street and park projects beyond FY 2006; approved a variable rate financing mechanism delaying principal payments until FY 2009

·      leveraging the buying power of Blue Cross and Blue Shield as the Town’s third party administrator for the health and dental self-insurance fund in FY 2006 (created savings versus budgeted funds of $1.3 million in just the first year)

·      updating the parks and recreation fee system in FY 2006 (expected to generate about $150,000 annually)

·      continuing the conversion to voice over internet protocol (VOIP) phone system begun in FY 2008; will save at least $171,000 annually upon full and complete implementation in FY 2011, or 17% of the Town’s existing $1 million in phone related costs.

 

The Balance Between Revenue Growth and Expenditure Growth

 

Historically, the NC General Assembly has given local governments a limited range of responsibilities for services and capital facilities and a limited set of revenue sources to meet those responsibilities.  Over an extended period of time, local governments need to develop and maintain a focus on community priorities within the limits of their responsibilities.  Having this prioritization structure and focus assists local governments in the struggle to balance revenues and expenditures while maintaining a strong and stable financial position.

 

During the decade of the 1990s, the Town of Cary benefited financially from the booming economy and an exceptionally high growth rate in both population and assessed value.  Many of the Town’s major revenue sources are largely driven by population such as ad valorem taxes, building permits, solid waste fees, recreation fees, cable television franchise fees and vehicle license fees.  Other major revenue sources driven by population and distributed through the state or county on a per capita basis include sales taxes, wine and beer taxes, and Powell Bill funding for local street improvements.  Due to growth management efforts and a slowing economy, both the Town’s population and revenue growth slowed dramatically in the early 2000s.  One of the benefits of the high growth levels was large amounts of operating margin (revenues less expenses) that enabled the Town to self-fund many large projects and new priorities.  For example, from FY 1998 through FY 2002, the Town was able to fund $130 million, or about 52% of its entire general capital program with cash generated either from operating margin, grants, or capital reserve revenue sources. 

 

The revenue reductions discussed have been coupled with significant service level increases in the form of new appropriations to roads, parks, specialized facilities, economic development funding for schools, affordable housing, and the initiation of a transit program.  In addition to the initial capital costs to build many of these facilities, some of them require additional staffing to maintain and program their use.  General fund operating margin before debt service has actually increased by $5 million from $13 million in FY 2003 to $17 million in FY 2009.  However, over that same time period, debt service has grown from $5 million to $14.3 million, more than canceling out the increase in operating margin.  Without significant shifts toward increasing revenues through further increases in existing fees, or decreasing expenditures in the very near future, maintaining the excellent financial condition of the Town may require consideration of an increase in property taxes.

 

Town staff has a history of being very frugal in its application of new resources to accomplish both existing and new tasks by not adding people or new funding until absolutely necessary in order to achieve the Town’s goals.  In addition, there is recognition within the organization that most often, people are the most expensive solution to any problem.  Many of the recent privatization efforts the Town has undertaken and studies related to operational improvements and efficiencies were detailed very thoroughly in the series of operation worksessions held with Council during the Fall of 2004.  In response to the dynamics of the past six years, the staff has taken an even harder look at operations to help reduce and control costs.  Examples of some of these initiatives are identified below: 

 

·              Began conversion to automated curbside solid waste collection and dual stream recycling in FY 2006 with full conversion prior to the end of FY 2007

·              Reduced eight positions in Inspections & Permits (5 inspectors, 3 permit staff) when the number of new permits being issued dropped in 2003 – added three inspectors and one permit staff position back in FY 2007 and increased another three in FY 2008 given the resurgence in the number of new permits and resulting inspections – still below the related staffing levels in 2003

·              Discontinued  residential plan review program

·              Did not fill Recycling Coordinator vacant position (reassigned the majority of duties and increased a 30 hour position to 40 hours to handle the remaining workload)

·              Began contracting janitorial services, landscaping, right of way and town facility mowing

·              Reduced in the minimum staffing on aerial ladder units in the Fire Department from 4 to 3

·              Changed approach to rising health and dental insurance costs by encouraging more consumerism and development of a fitness promotion and health awareness program

·              Initiated consultant studies on operations and staffing efficiencies at all utility plants and fleet operations

·              Reallocated four sworn officer positions from elementary school resource officer positions to higher priority objectives (two to new 9th grade centers, one to patrol and one to investigations)

·              Adjusted classification and pay study approach so as not to have associated automatic increases with grade changes

·              Required a 10% reduction across the board in training and travel expenses for FY 2006 after holding amounts flat for the previous two years

·              Required a 3% reduction across the board in non utility operating and maintenance expenses for FY 2006

 

 

GENERAL FINANCIAL CONDITION OF THE TOWN

 

FY 2009 budget recommendations have been made relative to the current overall financial condition of the Town and to meet the goals set by Council for the future of the Town.   The Town’s financial condition continues to be above average, according to the rating agencies, currently providing adequate liquidity in a better economic environment than that of four years ago.  All three major national bond rating agencies have awarded the Town of Cary their highest possible rankings, a move that reaffirms Cary’s financial strength.  These AAA ratings allow the town to save tax dollars when borrowing by gaining lower interest rates on bond issuances.

 

The Town has maintained a strong cash position, and property tax revenues consistently increased during the 1990s, allowing the Town to avoid property tax rate increases since Fiscal Year 1990.  Since then, any adjustments to the tax rate have been for revaluations, except in FY 2002, when the tax rate was dropped by one cent from 43 to 42 cents per $100 of property valuation.  While revenue growth has continued, an overall slowdown in the growth rate has been experienced compared with that of the 1990s, with a slight resurgence from a recent low in tax base growth of 1.5% in FY 2005 to a projected 7% for FY 2009.  Past strong population and commercial development has resulted in the need for a sizable and aggressive capital improvements program for both general and utility needs.  Due to these growing infrastructure needs and a comparatively slower growth rate, the Town can no longer depend on its financial reserves to the extent it has in the past.  Alternative financing options must be sought to enhance funding flexibility and continue to ensure cost effectiveness.  While the Town has traditionally funded major capital needs with cash, recent plans to leverage the Town’s borrowing power by increasing the use of debt financing are evident with the resulting increases in debt service during the past few years and more is expected should the capital program in FY 2009 be executed.  Financial reserves over and above Council’s six month goal for fund balance have been leveraged, but their ability to fund significant capital requirements in the future will be minimal.  These changes will affect future operating budgets with increased debt service and investment income fluctuations reflecting shifts in cash balances.  Acquiring additional debt without existing margin will require some combination of tax increases, additional revenue sources, and/or expenditure reductions to create the amount of margin necessary to service the debt load pending in the next few years (see “Debt Affordability” section above”).

 

The Town’s strong financial reserves have provided significant flexibility in the past allowing the Town to move quickly to take advantage of economic opportunities and/or begin new projects in the middle of the year.  Plans for the Town’s financial actions should include consideration for maintaining flexibility for periods of both economic growth and downturns.

 

REVIEW OF REVENUES

 

General Fund

Most of Cary’s general fund revenue sources are dependent on Cary’s existing population, and growth from year to year is heavily dependent on the number of new residents (permit fees, assessed value, sales taxes, etc.).  Cary's rate of population growth is expected to increase to 6% as of July 1, 2008, which is significantly lower than the double-digit growth experienced during much of the 1990s.  While a slowing economy and growth management practices of the early 2000s combined to encourage a slower growth rate, the recent economic recovery has coincided with a slight increase in the growth rate.  Council’s target is to have a 3% to 4% rolling five year average population growth, and that reflected below is 4.1 % from July 1 of FY 2004 through projected population as of July 1 of FY 2008.

 

 

 

Revenue assumptions have been developed according to the effects of the economy and estimated population growth levels as they directly impact many of the Town’s revenues such as ad valorem taxes, permit and inspection fees, solid waste fees, sales taxes, utility franchise tax, wine and beer tax, inventory reimbursement tax, cable TV franchise fees, and recycled goods. 

 

The general fund revenues for Fiscal Year 2009 total $117 million which is a 5% increase versus estimated revenues for Fiscal Year 2008.  This growth rate is bolstered by $5 million in ad valorem receipts, $1 million in increased solid waste fees, and $973 thousand in sales taxes. 

 

 

The Town's major source of revenue for FY 2009, the property tax, is based on January 1, 2008 assessments, which are projected to increase 40% over the estimate for FY 2008, mostly as a result of the Wake County property revaluation that updated tax values to approximate market values from their 2000 valuation levels to 2008 values.  Actual growth due to new construction is estimated at 7% for calendar year 2007.  This growth impacts revenue billings in FY 2009 and is based on new construction on the ground as of January 1, 2008.

 

The Cary Town Council sets the tax rate, currently 42 cents per $100 of assessed value, each year as part of the budget process. The tax rate for the year becomes official when the new budget is adopted annually in June.  The tax rate for Fiscal Year 2009 is recommended to decrease to 33 cents per $100 as a result of the revaluation.  Marginal growth in ad valorem revenues will help provide funding to continue essential services at current levels in the Town’s general fund.  The tax base in FY 2009 is estimated at just over $19.5 billion, which includes real and personal property.  The 33 cent rate is expected to provide $62.8 million in revenue.  One penny on the tax rate is expected to generate approximately $1.9 million in revenue for the Town in FY 2009. 

 

The chart below provides a breakdown of the major revenue categories in the general fund, their amounts, and their respective percentages of the total $117 million in revenues expected in FY 2009.

 

 

 

As is the case with most units of local government in North Carolina, the Town of Cary’s controllable sources of revenue are relatively restricted.  Included below is a breakdown of both controllable (property tax, solid waste fees, permits and fees, business licenses) and uncontrollable revenue sources (sales taxes, state shared revenues, investment earnings).  

 

 

 

For the Town of Cary, the focus is also on the local issues and the effects of growth on our ability to maintain our revenue streams.  Cary was able to get credit for its fast pace of growth during the 1990s by having a special census done in 1998 which increased its official population count relative to other municipalities in the county.  However, the 2000 decennial census caused a reallocation of the distribution of sales tax revenue from retail sales.  The Town of Cary’s share of sales tax revenue is dependent on its population as a proportion of Wake County since sales taxes are distributed within Wake County on a per capita basis.  Since Cary’s population growth rate has slowed compared to the rest of Wake County, it receives a smaller portion of the total distribution amount.  Had Cary’s distribution percentage remained constant since its peak of 8.94% in FY 2001, Cary would be receiving about $700,000, or about 2.8% more, in FY 2009 (percentage distribution currently 8.69%).

 

Projected sales tax revenues totaling $25 million in FY 2009 make up 22% of all general fund revenues.  The historical growth rate of this major revenue source was greatly impacted by the economic slowdown of the early 2000s, but the economic recovery of the past few years has helped this source recover with an average annual growth rate of 11.5% for FY 2003 through FY 2007.  With the global and domestic economies slowing, the health of the Triangle regional economy has started to show signs of slowing as well with only 5% growth in sales taxes expected in FY 2008.  Because the future growth of the economy is not expected to be as strong, a more modest growth rate of 4% in sales tax revenues is forecasted for FY 2009.  

 

The following graph quantifies the effects of the factors discussed above (local, state, and national) on the Town of Cary’s general fund revenue stream from FY 2001 through budgeted FY 2009.

 

 

Utility Fund

Utility fund revenues are budgeted at $49.1 million for FY 2009.  These revenues reflect a full year of Morrisville customer generated revenues following the April 3, 2006 merger of the Morrisville water and sewer system with the Town of Cary system.  Per the merger agreement, Morrisville customers will be paying slightly higher rates to help fund costs of the merger over the anticipated cost recovery period of 15 years.  Total revenue from water retail fees is expected to decrease 4%, while total sewer retail revenues are expected to increase 6%.  These increases reflect a blended rate increase of 1.2% or 77 cents per month for a residential customer using an average of 7,000 gallons per month.  Projected FY 2010 capital investment needs related to the Western Wake Regional Wastewater Management Facility are expected to require additional rate increases in the near future that could approach as much as 18% in FY 2013.  Just how much of an increase is required will depend on a number of factors including the rate of continued construction cost increases and the number of new customers added to the system over the next few years.  In order to collect enough revenue to recover the largely fixed costs of the utility system, these combined rate increases are required to generate sufficient revenue levels to pay all of the related costs.  It is further recommended that Council consider an evaluation of rate smoothing comparative data as we enter the budget consideration phase of budget development.  Utilizing an approach such as this may help ease the burden of a comparatively large increase in utility rates in FY 2013 by having smaller annual increases in each preceding year.

 

As was initiated in FY 2002, the utility rates in place are sufficient to generate $1 million annually for open space acquisition.  Due to revenue bond covenants entered into during Fiscal Year 2002 as a result of debt financing, the $1 million generated during Fiscal Year 2009 will be allowed to fall into fund balance to make sure enough revenue is generated to support all operating and debt service needs.  This $1 million has been appropriated to the open space project as part of the FY 2009 budget. 

 

The current tiered utility rate structure shifts more of the financial burden to the high-volume users who require additional capacity to support their peak demand.  The rate structure also currently includes a monthly base charge for all users.  Rate changes in Fiscal Year 2002 included increasing the first tier from 4,000 to 5,000 gallons.  With the Town’s continued emphasis on water conservation measures, the rates provide a financial incentive for the higher volume users to conserve.  As recommended in the Water Conservation and Demand Management Plan, adopted by Council in April 2000, the tiers are designed to encourage customers to maintain their water consumption at an efficient level.  The changes were adopted with implementation in March 2001, and primarily target excessive irrigation.

 

Other revenue sources in the utility fund include connection fees, pretreatment fees, sewer wholesale service, bulk water sales, and interest income.  Total revenues in the utility fund are projected to decrease 3% compared to the FY 2008 estimated revenues.  Fund balance levels are higher with approximately $46 million anticipated at the end of FY 2009 as compared to $24 million in FY 2003.  Council’s recent direction regarding the level of the utility fund balance target of 100% of annual operating expenditures and debt service is  consistent with ensuring cash flow needs are met and that sufficient reserves exist to buffer any dramatic weather changes that may occur (i.e. a very rainy season).  Fund balance amounts higher than this target in the past have been used for an $11.2 million transfer for open space acquisition in FY 2002 and another $13.5 million transfer to help offset utility capital costs related to involuntary annexation areas in FY 2003.  Growing debt service needs related to infrastructure investments are continuing to increase revenue requirements in the utility fund.  The May 3, 2005 general obligation bond referendum of $110 million was approved by Cary voters to help finance the Town’s share of a new regional wastewater management facility and another $10 million general obligation bond referendum was approved on that date for the acquisition of open space.  Including the FY 2009 budget, $94 million of the wastewater bond and all $10 million of open space bond funding, which was appropriated in FY 2007, will have been appropriated. 

 

As the chart below illustrates, utility fund revenues have been increasing to help afford related debt service and operational cost increases.  The rate of debt service growth (in red) and steadily climbing and heavily fixed operating expense growth (in blue) has put increasing pressure on the rate of revenue growth (in black).  Operating margin is demonstrated in the graph by the area where the revenues, shown in black, are still visible since they exceed debt service and operating expenses.  The recommended budget reflects an operating margin of approximately $3.4 million or about 7%.  This operating margin is being consumed by Morrisville merger related recovery cost transfers to the capital program and the generation of $1 million in open space funding.

 

 

REVIEW OF EXPENDITURES

 

General Fund and Utility Fund Total Expenditures Summary


General fund expenditures and inter-fund transfers total $119 million for FY 2009.  Included in this amount is $4.1 million in the form of fund balance transfers to support fire, parks, and general capital projects.  This expenditure level reflects a $4.5 million decrease compared to FY 2008 for capital transfers.  Debt service is budgeted at $14.3 million in FY 2009 and is expected to increase to $16.3 million in FY 2010.  Utility fund expenses and transfers total $48.4 million including a $1.1 million transfer to the utility capital reserve fund for future appropriation to water and sewer infrastructure needs identified via the merger of Cary and Morrisville’s utility systems.  This also includes $12.3 million to cover utility-related debt service requirements.

 

Major Personnel Impacts

The demand for services has continued to grow to keep up with the demand for high quality services even as the Town has increased service levels with special facilities (e.g. WakeMed Soccer Park, USA Baseball).  In addition, as the number of new permits has increased, so too have our related development approval demands, the number of related inspections, and ultimately our number of citizens requiring services and the related infrastructure maintenance necessary to create the exceptional environment expected.  In order to maintain current essential service levels and to support upcoming capital projects coming on-line, 25.25 new positions, 22.25 in the general fund and 3 in the utility fund, are recommended in the FY 2009 Budget.  The staffing ratio for FY 2009 is expected to drop compared to the